Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.001314 0.001426 0.001547 0.001686 0.001843 0.002017 0.002223
2025-11-30 0.001161 0.001309 0.001478 0.001684 0.001932 0.002225 0.002602
2025-12-07 0.001044 0.001207 0.001399 0.001644 0.001953 0.002337 0.002860
2025-12-14 0.000964 0.001137 0.001347 0.001624 0.001986 0.002456 0.003129
2025-12-21 0.000891 0.001067 0.001286 0.001582 0.001983 0.002522 0.003328
2025-12-28 0.000803 0.000973 0.001186 0.001481 0.001888 0.002449 0.003317
2026-01-04 0.000743 0.000909 0.001121 0.001418 0.001839 0.002433 0.003384
2026-01-11 0.000705 0.000871 0.001087 0.001396 0.001843 0.002492 0.003567
2026-01-18 0.000676 0.000844 0.001066 0.001388 0.001865 0.002578 0.003801
2026-01-25 0.000742 0.000948 0.001227 0.001652 0.002312 0.003365 0.005339
2026-02-01 0.000695 0.000893 0.001165 0.001583 0.002241 0.003313 0.005374
2026-02-08 0.000662 0.000856 0.001125 0.001543 0.002215 0.003331 0.005543
2026-02-15 0.000644 0.000843 0.001124 0.001571 0.002311 0.003591 0.006282
2026-02-22 0.000619 0.000818 0.001105 0.001569 0.002359 0.003774 0.006914
2026-03-01 0.000587 0.000782 0.001066 0.001534 0.002344 0.003839 0.007299
2026-03-08 0.000562 0.000756 0.001040 0.001515 0.002357 0.003957 0.007841
2026-03-15 0.000535 0.000724 0.001003 0.001477 0.002332 0.003996 0.008197
2026-03-22 0.000497 0.000674 0.000937 0.001385 0.002198 0.003795 0.007891
2026-03-29 0.000470 0.000639 0.000893 0.001328 0.002126 0.003720 0.007907
2026-04-05 0.000453 0.000619 0.000871 0.001308 0.002123 0.003787 0.008336
2026-04-12 0.000440 0.000605 0.000857 0.001301 0.002143 0.003908 0.008955
2026-04-19 0.000478 0.000671 0.000977 0.001540 0.002681 0.005325 0.014363
2026-04-26 0.000454 0.000639 0.000933 0.001478 0.002589 0.005194 0.014302